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☆ Abortion bans drive away up to half of young talent, new CNBC/Generation Lab youth survey finds
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-07 | by ( Jason Gewirtz | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

"These numbers on abortion have gigantic implications for just about every large company in America," said Cyrus Beschloss, the CEO of The Generation Lab. The CNBC/Generation Lab survey was conducted between April 26 and May 2, and has a margin of error +/- 3.1%. Sour on the economyThe survey also found that respondents had a negative opinion of an economy many would consider robust. The survey showed that 54% of respondents feel inflation impacts them the most in "the cost of food." Offered two options of how the government should proceed with TikTok, a large majority — 70% — of survey respondents said it should "allow TikTok to keep operating as usual."

Persons: Elijah Nouvelage, Cyrus Beschloss, they're, Roe, Wade, Jerome Powell, Powell, Delano Saporu, Saporu, Joe Biden, Steve Cohen, workweek, Kennedy, Biden, Donald Trump, Daniel Steinle Organizations: Emory University, AFP, Getty, CNBC, U.S, Federal Reserve, New Street Advisors, Congress, New York Mets, Biden, Trump, Bloomberg Locations: Atlanta , Georgia, USA, America, Washington, U.S, Waukesha, Waukesha , Wisconsin

☆ Opinion | Trump Knows Dominance Wins. Someone Tell Democrats.
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-06 | by ( M. Steven Fish | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

MAGA2024!”This is the sort of thing Mr. Trump is known for, even with people who came around and bent the knee. Politics is a dominance competition, and Mr. Trump is an avid and ruthless practitioner of it. What these Democrats seem to have forgotten is that they have their own liberal tradition of dominance politics — and if they embrace it, they would improve their chances of defeating Trumpism. But unlike Mr. Trump, whose lies and conduct after the 2020 election were damaging to democracy, leaders like Franklin Roosevelt, John F. Kennedy, Lyndon Johnson and the Rev. Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. exerted dominance in liberal ways and to prodemocratic ends.

Persons: Donald Trump, Bill Barr, “, Barr, Trump, MAGA2024, —, Franklin Roosevelt, John F, Kennedy, Lyndon Johnson, Martin Luther King Jr Organizations: Democratic, Trumpism

☆ Why election polls were so wrong in 2016 and 2020 — and what's changing to fix that
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-04 | by ( Rebecca Picciotto | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Atkeson, a political scientist who researches election surveys and public opinion, has been conducting voter polls since 2004. She is currently a professor at Florida State University and has authored several books. "People were not answering their phones," Rachael Cobb, a political science professor at Suffolk University, told CNBC. Polarization and technology are among the obstacles that pollsters cite as complicating the task of taking accurate voter surveys. As a result, over the past several election cycles, polling organizations have made some major mistakes.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, Lonna Atkeson, Atkeson, Rachael Cobb Organizations: Florida, Republican, Florida State University, CNBC, Suffolk University Locations: Loudon , New Hampshire

☆ U.K. Conservatives Hold Their Breath: How Bad Will Local Elections Be?
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( Mark Landler | More About Mark Landler | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

When voters in England and Wales go to the polls on Thursday to elect mayors and local council members, the outcome will inevitably be seen as a barometer for Britain’s coming general election. Given the sour public mood and the Conservative Party’s dire poll ratings, the storm clouds are already forming. The big question is not whether the governing Conservatives will lose seats — that is a foregone conclusion among pollsters — but whether the losses will exceed or fall short of expectations after 18 months in which the Tories have consistently trailed the opposition Labour Party by yawning margins. “If a party has been 20 points behind the opposition for 18 months, how much worse can it get?” said Tony Travers, a professor of politics at the London School of Economics. “The losses would have to be very, very bad for it to be viewed as a negative result for the Conservatives, and they are unlikely to be good enough for Labour for it to be viewed as a success.”

Persons: pollsters, ”, Tony Travers Organizations: Wales, Conservative, Conservatives, Tories, Labour Party, London School of Economics, Labour Locations: England

☆ CNN Analysis: No, Trump’s legal woes aren’t helping him
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-28 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Trump’s success might make you believe that he has turned the conventional wisdom on its head – that somehow, his legal troubles are helping him politically. There isn’t much of a sign that Trump’s legal woes are helping him among the wider electorate, even if they aren’t hurting him necessarily. Consider Trump’s polling against President Joe Biden. You might think that Trump would be gaining against Biden, if the cases against Trump were helping him. It’s not clear whether the money Trump’s raising because of appeals to his base during his legal troubles is offsetting the amount his committees are spending.

Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, Biden, pollster, pollsters, don’t, Trump’s, isn’t, he’s, I’m Organizations: CNN, Republican, Biden, Trump, Marist College, Reuters, New York Times, Siena College, NBC, Quinnipiac University, Marquette University Law School, Times, Financial Times Locations: York, Quinnipiac, New York

☆ 10 Years, 100 Stories: The Work That Defines the Upshot
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-27 | by ( The Upshot Staff | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +20 min

Ten years ago this week, The New York Times introduced the Upshot, a section devoted to explaining “politics, policy and everyday life.” That’s a wide scope, by design. As a result, more than 5,000 articles later, the Upshot has been many things to many readers. To mark our 10th birthday, we’ve collected 100 stories that embody the Upshot. WordleBot Eden Weingart/The New York Times When Wordle first became popular, several people on the internet claimed, plausibly, that they had come up with the “best” opening word. Force of Ship Impact Was on the Scale of a Rocket Launch Erin Schaff/The New York Times We think of the Upshot as a place where back-of-the-envelope calculations can be both helpful and welcome.

Persons: ”, Nate Cohn’s, we’ve, Kevin Quealy, John Branch, John, Patrick Thomas, tut, Trump, pollsters, Obamacare, Leif Parsons, We’re, Jason Henry, Tony Luong, Jordan, ‘, Ruth Fremson, Laurel, ’ Rodrigo Corral, Alex Welsh, Paul Romer, Tim Enthoven, Barack Obama, epidemiologists, It’s, you’re, WordleBot Eden, Wordle, Lila Barth, McCabe, Tom Brady, ChatGPT, —, Erin Schaff Organizations: New York Times, Facebook, Yankees, Red, State Newspaper, ESPN, The Athletic, The Times, You’re, Voters, Trump, Mr, Times, Siena College, Walmart, The New York Times, Jordan Siemens, Health, New, Nike, Democratic, Twitter, America, Iowa, Iowa Democratic, Cancer, Hit, Biden, Insurance, Roe America, Disorders, Republican, Republican Party of, U.S, Budget, NASA, National, Traffic, Administration, Yorkers, Force Locations: It’s, Red Sox, State, America, Dakota, Ireland, Chipotle, Japan, U.S, United States, Siena, New Pennsylvania, District, Iowa, Covid, York City, New York, Pennsylvania, Roe, Tonga, Arizona, York, Holland

☆ How the Movie ‘Civil War’ Echoes Real Political Anxieties
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-21 | by ( Lisa Lerer | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

From the multiplex to social media, the prospect of America collapsing into armed conflict has moved from being an idea on the tinfoil-hat fringes to an active undercurrent of the country’s political conversation. Voters at campaign events bring up their worries that political division could lead to large-scale political violence. A cottage industry has arisen for speculative fiction, serious assessments and forums about whether the country could be on the verge of a modern-day version of the bloodiest war in American history. And “Civil War,” a dystopian action film about an alternative America plunged into a bloody domestic conflict, has topped box office sales for two consecutive weekends. Of course, the notion of a future civil war remains a mere notion.

Persons: Pollsters Locations: America, Brownsville , Texas, Boston

☆ Hush money judge eviscerates Trump's 'untenable' motion to delay trial due to 'pretrial publicity'
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-12 | by ( Laura Italiano | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Read previewDonald Trump's hush money trial remained on track for Monday jury selection after the judge on Friday night denied — in no uncertain terms — a defense bid to delay the trial indefinitely due to prejudicial pretrial publicity. "This is not tenable," the trial judge, New York Supreme Court Justice Juan Merchan , said in his decision, noting that much of the pretrial publicity has been caused by Trump himself. "Defendant appears to take the position that his situation and this case are unique and that the pre-trial publicity will never subside," the judge wrote in Friday's decision. The poll "provides no information about how it obtained the contact information of respondents or how it ensured its samples were actually random or representative," the judge wrote. Last week, Trump lost a Manhattan appellate court bid for an emergency delay of the trial on pretrial publicity grounds.

Persons: —, Donald, Juan Merchan, Trump, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Merchan, Defendant, Jean Carroll, Susan Necheles, Todd Blanche, Trump's, pollsters, Prosecutors, Attorney Alvin Bragg, Stormy Daniels, Daniels Organizations: Service, New, Business, Court, Federal, Defendant, Defense, Prosecutors, Manhattan, Attorney, Trump Organization Locations: Chicago, Manhattan

☆ More Voters Shift to Republican Party, Closing Gap With Democrats
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-09 | by ( Ruth Igielnik | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

In the run-up to the 2020 election, more voters across the country identified as Democrats than Republicans. But four years into Joseph R. Biden Jr.’s presidency, that gap has shrunk, and the United States now sits almost evenly divided between Democrats and Republicans. Republicans have made significant gains among voters without a college degree, rural voters and white evangelical voters, according to a new report from the Pew Research Center. At the same time, Democrats have held onto key constituencies, such as Black voters and younger voters, and have gained ground with college-educated voters. The report groups independents, who tend to behave like partisans even if they eschew the label, with the party they lean toward.

Persons: Joseph R, Biden, ’, pollsters Organizations: Republicans, Pew Research Center Locations: United States

☆ Opinion | Good Economy, Negative Vibes: The Story Continues
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-08 | by ( Paul Krugman | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

When it comes to economic news, we’ve had so much winning that we’ve gotten tired of winning, or at any rate blasé about it. Last week, we got another terrific employment report — job growth for 39 straight months — and it feels as if hardly anyone noticed. In particular, it’s not clear whether the good news will dent the still widespread but false narrative that President Biden is presiding over a bad economy. Four years ago, the economy was body-slammed by the Covid-19 pandemic, but we have more than recovered. Why, then, are so many Americans still telling pollsters that the economy is in bad shape?

Persons: we’ve, it’s, Biden, pollsters, we’re

☆ Progressive Candidate Could Upend the San Francisco Mayor’s Race
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-04 | by ( Heather Knight | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

San Francisco residents have repeatedly told pollsters they don’t support Mayor London Breed. But as those mayoral contenders try to outmaneuver one another from the middle, they may have left an opening for a candidate on the left. Into that void has stepped Aaron Peskin, president of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors. Mr. Peskin, 59, confirmed in an interview that he will file papers on Friday to run for mayor. Breed might be ousted by someone to her right, Mr. Peskin could win the race if enough liberals coalesce around him in a city known for its left-wing politics.

Persons: pollsters, Aaron Peskin, Peskin Organizations: London, San Francisco, of Supervisors Locations: Francisco

☆ How I Learned to Love the Rerun Election
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-01 | by ( Jess Bidgood | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

When our pollsters recently asked voters how they felt about the coming election, they heard words that could also describe rancid garbage, personal regret or a meteor headed for Earth. “Lousy,” offered Joe Ruddach, 61, the owner of auto and coffee businesses who lives in Spokane, Wash., when I called him last week. He added words like “anxious” and “stressed” for good measure. “I wish they could get younger people,” he said with a sigh, “or someone that could bring people together.”I’m the new host of this newsletter, and I get it. The rematch between President Biden and former President Donald Trump feels inherently tired, or perhaps inescapably depressing.

Persons: ”, Joe Ruddach, Biden, Donald Trump Organizations: New York Times, Siena College Locations: Spokane

☆ Trump complains in latest hush-money delay bid that Manhattan already thinks he's guilty, and Michael Cohen keeps saying 'Donald von Shitsinpants'
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-30 | by ( Laura Italiano | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

This eleventh-hour effort to push back Trump's April 15 trial date is the latest of a half-dozen such requests since August. Bad polls, bad pressManhattan is not Trump country, the defense delay motion notes. AdvertisementPollsters surveyed a sample of 400 Manhattan residents, the delay motion says. Trump's motion implies that those sources were, or involved, Bragg, ignoring that the stories could have been sourced through multiple other individuals, including court staff, witnesses, and attorneys for witnesses. Advertisement"President Trump cannot get a fair trial in Manhattan County right now," the delay motion concludes, asking for unspecified adjournment "until prejudicial press coverage abates."

Persons: —, Donald, Trump's, Juan Merchan, It's, Trump, They've, pollsters, Michael Cohen, Cohen, Donald von shitsinpants, Donald Van, Donald Trump's, Says, Donald Trump, Eduardo Munoz, Stormy Daniels, Daniels, Stephanie Clifford, She's, Peacock, Norm, DONALD J, Matthew Colangelo, Colangelo, Juan Merchan AP, Seth Wenig, Merchan, Bob Moore, Jeb Bush's, Alvin Bragg Craig Ruttle, Attorney Alvin Bragg, Allen Weisselberg, Bragg Organizations: Service, New, Business, GOP, Defense, Moore Information Group, York County Clerk's, Trump fixer, Twitter, New York County Clerk's, FBI, REUTERS, Trump, Prosecutors, Moore, National Republican Senatorial Committee, Manhattan, Attorney, Trump Organization Locations: Manhattan, York County, New York County, New York City, U.S, Trump, Manhattan County

☆ Opinion: RFK Jr. is poised to be a chaos factor in November
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-28 | by ( Opinion Lee Drutman | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

With the announcement of his running mate, Silicon Valley attorney and entrepreneur Nicole Shanahan, Kennedy’s campaign will expand its ballot access. On the surface, this double dislike seems puzzling: Shouldn’t one of the two parties have figured out how to elevate a more popular general election candidate? Americans overwhelmingly want more than two political parties. But in a close race between the two unpopular frontrunners, Kennedy will almost certainly be a chaos factor. Kennedy — whose campaign is in many respects a product of this doom loop — is a deeply flawed messenger for change.

Persons: Lee Drutman, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Nicole Shanahan, Kennedy’s, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Trump, Hillary Clinton, Kennedy, It’s, Biden, “, ” Kennedy, swindled, it’s, haters, —, frontrunners, James Weaver, George Wallace, ’ “, I’ve, Kennedy — Organizations: New America, Democracy, CNN, Biden, Gallup, Young, Trust, ”, Trump, Republicans, Democratic Party Locations: New, America, Silicon Valley, —, Washington , DC, Alaska

☆ Biden pulls even with Trump as economic view improves slightly, CNBC survey shows
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-26 | by ( Steve Liesman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Evelyn Hockstein | David Swanson | ReutersAmericans' views on the economy have improved modestly, according to the latest CNBC All-America Economic Survey, helping President Biden pull even with Donald Trump in a head-to-head matchup. But former President Trump holds a commanding lead on several economic issues, like inflation, taxes and immigration, that voters say are most important in this election. The survey of 1,001 Americans across the country showed 46% of voters choose Trump and 45% picking Biden in a one-on-one match with 10% undecided. Younger Democrats, in fact, are evenly split on the presidents handling of foreign policy. While those issues look to be dragging on the president's approval, he has received a boost from somewhat better overall views on the economy.

Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Evelyn Hockstein, David Swanson, Biden, Trump, Jay Campbell, Hart, Micah Roberts, it's, they've Organizations: Reuters, CNBC, America Economic Survey, Trump, Biden, Hart Research, Democratic, Republican

☆ Opinion: RFK Jr.’s VP pick is a missile aimed at Biden
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-26 | by ( Paul Begala | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

CNN —Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s independent presidential campaign can’t win, but it could swing the presidency to former President Donald Trump. RFK Jr.’s namesake father was a Democratic US attorney general and a Democratic senator from New York. So was Joe’s son, RFK Jr’s nephew, Joseph P. Kennedy III. To believe that, one must ignore that Perot, like Clinton, was a change candidate; like Clinton, he was pro-choice, and like Clinton, Perot supported campaign finance reform. But you don’t need decades of experience and reams of data to see who RFK Jr’s bid hurts.

Persons: Paul Begala, Bill Clinton’s, Clinton, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, can’t, Donald Trump, Nicole Shanahan, Kennedy, Shanahan, Sergey Brin, Hillary Clinton, Pete Buttigieg, Ro Khanna, Biden, McDonkeyface, John Francis “ Honey Fitz ” Fitzgerald, Joseph P, Franklin Delano Roosevelt, Bobby Jr, ’, John F, Edward M, Teddy, Bobby’s, RFK, Kennedy III, Kathleen Kennedy Townsend, Patrick Kennedy, Jean Kennedy Smith, Caroline Kennedy, Barack Obama’s, Bobby Kennedy Jr, Trump, Reagan, I’ve, Ross, Perot, George Bush Organizations: Democratic, CNN, RFK, Biden, Trump, RFK Jr, Google, The New York Times, Times, Boston, Securities Exchange Commission, Rhode Island, Republicans, Twitter, Facebook, Perot Locations: Northern California, California, Great Britain, New York, Massachusetts, United States, Maryland, Rhode, Ireland, Japan, Australia

☆ Opinion: Why a booming economy isn’t helping Biden
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-24 | by ( Fareed Zakaria | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

It used to be that the public’s view of the president depended mostly on its view of the economy. Democrats who had previously thought the economy was in terrible shape now thought it was booming, and Republicans did the opposite. I argue in the book that it is identity — which encompasses culture, class and tribalism. And when people see their world in flux, they often move not left on economics but right on culture. The left needs to play more effectively on the new crossroads of politics, where culture and class have replaced economics.

Persons: Fareed Zakaria, Fareed, Read, Joe Biden’s, haywire, It’s, Nate Cohn, Barack Obama’s, Donald Trump, ’, Trump, Ronald Inglehart, —, Inglehart, John Burn, “ Organizations: CNN, Fareed’s, The New York Times, Immigration, Trump Locations: America, Sweden, Denmark, France, Austria, Germany, Japan, United States, Nigeria

☆ Israeli cabinet members say they oppose Ultra-Orthodox conscription plan in threat to coalition government
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-24 | by ( Mick Krever | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Tel Aviv CNN —Two of the three members of Israel’s war cabinet signalled their opposition to government proposals on the recruitment of ultra-Orthodox men into the military, setting up a potential collapse of the government coalition. An outline of the Israeli government’s plans for reforming the exemption emerged over the weekend, but it appears as though the government will once again attempt to delay that legislation. “I will not be a party to any proposal that is not agreed upon by all parts of the coalition. Malach said that “there is a high chance that the Supreme Court will say that it’s not acceptable.”A longstanding debateIsrael has, since its founding, exempted Haredim from mandatory military service. In 1998, the Supreme Court ripped up the longstanding exemption, telling the government that allowing Haredim to get out of conscription violated equal protection principles.

Persons: “, Yoav Gallant, ” Gallant, Benny Gantz, Benjamin Netanyahu, ” Gantz, –, Netanyahu –, ”, ” Gilad Malach, Malach, Haredim, Knessets, Netanyahu, Gallant, ” “ Organizations: Tel, Tel Aviv CNN, Israeli, ”, CNN, Channel, Kan, “, National Unity, Israel Democracy Institute Locations: Tel Aviv, Washington, Israel

☆ Why does Biden keep mentioning January 6? Because Trump won’t stop talking about it
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-16 | by ( Edward-Isaac Dovere | Steve Contorno | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +14 min

It’s Biden’s campaign aides who have been surprised how much that’s true. A running mate litmus testBiden aides say January 6 and the footage from it will be a central feature of their advertising campaigns, the convention and beyond. Trump, for his part, keeps talking about it and his aides aren’t really trying to stop him. About 56 percent of independent voters continue to believe Trump was largely responsible for it, virtually unchanged during that stretch. But Biden aides say that’s a big part of why the images and memories of January 6 itself are so important.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden, It’s, ”, Mike Donilon, “, We’re, ’, Kamala Harris, CNN —, reverberating, Biden, Jan, litmus, aren’t, Mike Pence, Elise Stefanik, Ohio Sen, J.D, Vance, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Ben Carson, Doug Burgum, Pence, Scott, Burgum, ’ Biden, didn’t, it’s, ” Donilon, there’s, Mike Johnson, Barry Loudermilk, That’s, Loudermilk, Matt Gaetz, Tim Burchett, Jeff Van Drew, insurrectionists, they’ll, Harris, Matt Barreto –, –, Barreto, ” Barreto, ” Biden, Kari Lake’s, denialism, Chris DeLuzio, —, ” DeLuzio, ” Will Rollins, Ken Calvert —, ” Rollins, Annie Grayer, Ariel Edwards, Levy Organizations: CNN, Capitol, Democratic, Biden, Trump, South, North Dakota Gov, Republicans, Trump voters, Washington Post, University of Maryland, White, Congressional Republicans, GOP, Republican, House Republican Conference, ”, Trump Republicans, Democratic National Committee, —, Democrat, Southern Californians, GOP Rep Locations: Wilmington, New York, Ohio, South Carolina, America, Charlottesville, Valley Forge, Georgia, Florida, Tennessee, New Jersey, Ukraine, Israel, U.S, Arizona, Pennsylvania

☆ The RNC just hired election denier Christina Bobb as a 'senior counsel for election integrity'
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-13 | by ( Mia Jankowicz | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Read previewA pro-Trump attorney who spread false theories about the legitimacy of the 2020 election has been hired by the Republican National Committee as senior counsel in a newly formed "election integrity" unit. AdvertisementShe added: "We can never allow what happened in 2020 and the questions surrounding that election to ever happen again." Bobb has long claimed that the 2020 election was stolen, including in her book "Stealing Your Vote: The Inside Story of the 2020 Election and What It Means for 2024." This is now a pivotal aspect of Special Counsel Jack Smith's election obstruction case against the former president. AdvertisementAside from her efforts to undermine the 2020 election, Bobb was also involved in defending Trump following the 2022 raid of Mar-a-Lago.

Persons: —, Christina Bobb, Lara Trump, Bobb, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, pollsters, Rudy Giuliani, Jack Organizations: Service, Trump, Republican National Committee, RNC, Washington Post, Business, Fox, Truth, America News, Dominion Voting Systems, CNN Locations: Maricopa County , Arizona, Trump's, Mar, Trump's Florida

☆ Polls Missing US Economy's Strength Will Make the Next Recession Worse
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-12 | by ( George Pearkes | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +12 min

By underweighting the experience of certain groups — especially lower-income or frontline workers — policymakers could learn the wrong lessons from the post-pandemic economy. The Great DivergenceIf you ask Americans how the economy is doing, the general sentiment can be summed up in one word: bad. Similarly, the Conference Board's consumer confidence data isn't quite at its post-Great Recession lows, but it's far below its 2017-19 average. The ASEC data uses a very large sample to provide the best possible insight into households' economic well-being, with more than 75,000 households participating. Similarly, the focus on the prospect of a recession soared, even outdoing the period in 2020 when the economy was actually in a recession.

Persons: it's, —, Pew Organizations: University of, Conference, Labor Statistics, Government, Bureau of Labor Statistics, NFL, Minnesota Vikings, Green Bay Packers, Chicago Bears, BLS, Census, Federal Locations: telemarketers, nonresponses

☆ How Biden hopes to recapture voters scarred by inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-12 | by ( Ron Brownstein | Analysis Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +14 min

A majority of Hispanics, and even a plurality of Black voters, said Biden’s policies would cause inflation to rise, the survey found. You can’t not make the contrast and comparison.”These negative retrospective assessments of the Biden and Trump economic records create huge headwinds for the president. “Voters—even past Biden voters who disapprove of his economic record—clearly reject what Trump and Republicans are offering,” Democratic pollster Margie Omero said in an email. After voters were exposed to Biden’s populist arguments, assessments of his economic record improved in the group’s polling, Clark said. But even after hearing that case, most voters in the group’s surveys still gave Biden negative marks for his economic performance, the study found.

Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Trump, Biden, Biden –, “, ”, Danielle Deiseroth, West Virginia Sen, Joe Manchin, Shawn Fain, Evelyn Hockstein, Adam Green, Michael Tyler, Republican pollster Micah Roberts, It’s, Jim McLaughlin, ” McLaughlin, Roberts, ” Roberts, can’t, ” Tyler, Margie Omero, ’, Bobby Clark, Clark Organizations: CNN, GOP, Trump, Teamsters, Democratic, ACA, West, United Auto Workers, Biden, CNBC, Social Security, Republican, White, NBC News, New York Times, Siena College, CBS, Union, “ Locations: Wisconsin, Michigan, Belleville , Michigan, Scranton , Pennsylvania, Democratic, State, Biden’s

☆ Election Updates: It’s the first full week of the general election, and Biden is barnstorming several states.
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-11 | by ( Maggie Astor | Chris Cameron | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +3 min

Welcome to the first full week of the general election. At this point, the days remaining before President Biden and former President Donald J. Trump mathematically secure their nominations are a formality. Fresh off a State of the Union address on Thursday that buoyed many Democrats’ spirits regarding his campaign, Mr. Biden is barnstorming several of the states that will decide the election in November, looking to make his case to voters. Mr. Trump also held a rally on Saturday in Georgia, where he vilified migrants, repeated his lie that the 2020 election was stolen, called journalists “criminals” and mocked Mr. Biden’s stutter. On the Democratic side, Georgia, Mississippi, Washington and the Northern Mariana Islands will vote — and Democrats abroad will finish their weeklong process — but Mr. Biden can’t formally lock up his nomination until next week.

Persons: Nikki Haley, Dean Phillips, Biden, Donald J, Trump, ”, Mr, —, Biden can’t, Katie Britt, Alabama, Kari Lake Organizations: Republican, Democratic, Trump, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Washington, Mr, Republican National Convention, Republicans, Union, “ Fox, Senate Locations: New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Michigan, Georgia, Hawaii , Mississippi, Georgia , Mississippi, Washington, Northern Mariana, Guam, . Mississippi, Mexico, United States, Arizona

☆ Why ultra-Orthodox conscription could threaten Israel’s coalition
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-08 | by ( Mick Krever | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

In Israel’s nascent days, Prime Minister David Ben-Gurion agreed with Haredi rabbis to exempt from military service 400 men studying in religious schools, or yeshivas. Now, those piecemeal attempts to maintain the Haredi exemption may be running out. When the government came to power in late 2022, forming the most right-wing coalition in Israel’s history, the Haredim sensed an opportunity. The Israeli military has had a significant number of soldiers wounded in Gaza and has instituted massive call ups. It’s no longer just politics.”A delicate momentSome in the Haredi political leadership, perhaps recognizing the delicate political moment, have been generally cautious in defining a position.

Persons: Benjamin Netanyahu’s, ” Yohanan Plesner, David Ben, Gurion, Israel –, Haredim, Knessets, IDI, Yoav Gallant, ”, Netanyahu, – Benny Gantz, –, ” Gantz, Plesner, ” Moshe Roth, Ofer Shelah, Yitzhak Goldknopf, Ari Kalman, “, doesn’t, Bnei Brak, Roth, Nechemia, it’s, It’s Organizations: CNN, Israel Democracy Institute, IDI, Israel’s, Institute for National Security Studies Locations: Israel, United States, United Kingdom, Gali Baharav, Gaza, Bnei

☆ Turkish Opposition Disarray Lifts Erdogan's Hopes of Winning Back Istanbul
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-07 | by ( March | At A.M. | ) www.usnews.com time to read: +3 min

The alliance that helped propel Imamoglu to victory in Istanbul has since collapsed, and his nationalist and pro-Kurdish allies are fielding their own candidates this month. FRAGMENTED OPPOSITIONBut Imamoglu's hopes in Istanbul have been dented by the decision of the pro-Kurdish DEM Party and the Turkish nationalist IYI Party, whose voters supported him in 2019, to field their own candidates. Metropoll's latest survey showed support for Imamoglu among Kurdish voters had declined to 32% last month from 35% in January. Support among IYI party voters fell to 45% from 64%. Imamoglu has accused central government of hampering his delivery of services in Istanbul since 2019.

Persons: Tayyip Erdogan's, Ekrem Imamoglu, Erdogan, Imamoglu, pollsters MAK, Murat Kurum, pollster Murat Gezici, Kurum, Sencar, pollsters Metropoll, Imamoglu's, Ertan Aksoy, Canan Sevgili, Daren Butler, Gareth Jones Organizations: Birsen Altayli, AK Party, CHP, AKP, DEM Party, Turkish, IYI Party, Aksoy Research Locations: Birsen, Birsen Altayli ISTANBUL, Istanbul, Turkey's, Israel, Gaza, Ankara, Turkish, Imamoglu's, Turkey

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